Combat Edge Intelligence

Brian Stapleton vs Zach Light

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Zach Light
us

Zach Light

“The Lisbon Outlaw”

9-11-0WelterweightS70

1456Average

Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record9-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'8"
N/AReachUnknown
161 lbsWeight170.4 LBS
TBDTeamWolfslair

What's at stake

Brian Stapleton is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Zach Light carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Brian StapletonNow 1473
If they win+23→ 1496
If they lose-25→ 1448
Zach LightNow 1456
If they win+17→ 1473
If they lose-15→ 1441

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.83
TBD
Strike accuracy
40%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
8.69
TBD
Strike defense
49%
TBD
Takedown avg.
6.21
TBD
Takedown accuracy
100%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Brian StapletonZach Light
140014502009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
2 (22%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (44%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Brian Stapleton53%
Zach Light 47%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Brian Stapleton a 53% favorite over Zach Light in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Brian Stapleton holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1473 to 1456, a 17-point edge.

Zach Light 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.