Combat Edge Intelligence

Brian Warren vs Dmitrii Ceacusta

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Brian Warren
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Brian Warren

“Mr. Unbreakable”

18-18-1MiddleweightKOTC

1513Average

Tale of the tape

18-18-1Record2-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'11"
TBDReach-
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Unbreakable GymTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brian WarrenNow 1513
If they win+12→ 1525
If they lose-12→ 1501
Dmitrii CeacustaNow 1525
If they win+23→ 1548
If they lose-25→ 1500

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1534 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Brian WarrenDmitrii Ceacusta
1500155020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (33%)
KO/TKO
2 (100%)
7 (39%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (28%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Dmitrii Ceacusta82%
Brian Warren 18%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Dmitrii Ceacusta a 82% favorite over Brian Warren in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1513 vs 1525), separated by just 12 points.

Brian Warren enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Brian Warren finishes 72% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.