Combat Edge Intelligence

Brock Larson vs Daniel Rodriguez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

42-10-0Record20-5-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'0"
TBDReach74"
170 lbsWeight184 lbs
Get Sum Athletic CompoundTeam10th Planet Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brock LarsonNow 1743
If they win+12→ 1755
If they lose-12→ 1731
Daniel RodriguezNow 1747
If they win+12→ 1759
If they lose-12→ 1735

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1570 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1720 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.39
Sig. strikes / min
7.20
47%
Strike accuracy
49%
1.50
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.40
56%
Strike defense
58%
2.67
Takedown avg.
0.51
34%
Takedown accuracy
50%
43%
Takedown defense
64%
2
Submission avg.
0.08

Trajectory

Brock LarsonDaniel Rodriguez
17001750201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

15 (37%)
KO/TKO
9 (45%)
21 (51%)
Submission
4 (20%)
5 (12%)
Decision
7 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Daniel Rodriguez72%
Brock Larson 28%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Rodriguez a 72% favorite over Brock Larson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1743 vs 1747), separated by just 4 points.

Daniel Rodriguez enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Brock Larson finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Daniel Rodriguez 65%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.