Combat Edge Intelligence

Brock Lesnar vs Jose Augusto

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

5-3-0Record9-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
81"ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight263 lbs
Team Death ClutchTeamPitbull Brothers

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brock LesnarNow 1590
If they win+24→ 1614
If they lose-24→ 1566
Jose AugustoNow 1593
If they win+16→ 1609
If they lose-16→ 1577

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1648 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.53
Sig. strikes / min
0
72%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.11
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
51%
Strike defense
TBD
3.90
Takedown avg.
TBD
55%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
60%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.49
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Brock LesnarJose Augusto
1600201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (60%)
KO/TKO
5 (56%)
1 (20%)
Submission
2 (22%)
1 (20%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Jose Augusto63%
Brock Lesnar 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jose Augusto a 63% favorite over Brock Lesnar in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1590 vs 1593), separated by just 3 points.

Brock Lesnar finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Jose Augusto 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.