Combat Edge Intelligence

Brunno Ferreira vs Makhmud Muradov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-4-0Record28-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'2"
72"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Brazilian TKOTeamAnkos MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brunno FerreiraNow 1723
If they win+16→ 1739
If they lose-16→ 1707
Makhmud MuradovNow 1723
If they win+12→ 1735
If they lose-12→ 1711

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1683 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1626 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.77
Sig. strikes / min
4.21
51%
Strike accuracy
44%
3.91
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.57
52%
Strike defense
61%
1.25
Takedown avg.
3.03
24%
Takedown accuracy
67%
61%
Takedown defense
78%
0.75
Submission avg.
0.19

Trajectory

Brunno FerreiraMakhmud Muradov
170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (60%)
KO/TKO
18 (64%)
5 (33%)
Submission
3 (11%)
1 (7%)
Decision
7 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Brunno Ferreira60%
Makhmud Muradov 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Brunno Ferreira a 60% favorite over Makhmud Muradov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1723 vs 1723), separated by just 0 points.

Brunno Ferreira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Makhmud Muradov enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Brunno Ferreira finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Makhmud Muradov 75%.

Makhmud Muradov carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.