Combat Edge Intelligence

Bruno Cappelozza vs Chris Barnett

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Chris Barnett
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Chris Barnett

“Huggy Bear / Beastboy”

23-10-0Super HeavyweightUFC

1633Solid

Tale of the tape

16-7-0Record23-10-0
HeavyweightDivisionSuper Heavyweight
6'2"Height5'9"
79"Reach75"
237 lbsWeight268 lbs
Corinthians MMATeamXFC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bruno CappelozzaNow 1637
If they win+16→ 1653
If they lose-16→ 1621
Chris BarnettNow 1633
If they win+12→ 1645
If they lose-12→ 1621

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1590 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1580 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.21
TBD
Strike accuracy
47%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.53
TBD
Strike defense
39%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
33%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Bruno CappelozzaChris Barnett
160016502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

15 (94%)
KO/TKO
18 (78%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (6%)
Decision
5 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Bruno Cappelozza63%
Chris Barnett 37%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Bruno Cappelozza a 63% favorite over Chris Barnett in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1637 vs 1633), separated by just 4 points.

Bruno Cappelozza enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Chris Barnett enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Bruno Cappelozza finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Chris Barnett 78%.

Bruno Cappelozza carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.