Bruno Cappelozza vs Thomas Petersen
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-7-0Record11-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
79"Reach74"
237 lbsWeight257 lbs
Corinthians MMATeamSpartan MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1653
If they lose-16→ 1621
If they win+16→ 1655
If they lose-16→ 1623
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1590 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1616 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bruno CappelozzaThomas Petersen
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Thomas Petersen66%
Bruno Cappelozza 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Thomas Petersen a 66% favorite over Bruno Cappelozza in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1637 vs 1639), separated by just 2 points.
Bruno Cappelozza enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Bruno Cappelozza finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Thomas Petersen 73%.
Bruno Cappelozza carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.