Combat Edge Intelligence

Bruno Lopes vs Magomed Tuchalov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Bruno Lopes
br

Bruno Lopes

“Brunao”

14-3-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1647Solid

Tale of the tape

14-3-0Record6-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'5"
74"Reach-
204 lbsWeight205 lbs
011 MMA TeamTeamDagestan Fighter

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bruno LopesNow 1647
If they win+16→ 1663
If they lose-16→ 1631
Magomed TuchalovNow 1648
If they win+24→ 1672
If they lose-24→ 1624

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1556 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.81
Sig. strikes / min
0
43%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.38
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
58%
Strike defense
TBD
2.51
Takedown avg.
TBD
33%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Bruno LopesMagomed Tuchalov
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (43%)
KO/TKO
5 (83%)
5 (36%)
Submission
1 (17%)
3 (21%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Magomed Tuchalov53%
Bruno Lopes 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Magomed Tuchalov a 53% favorite over Bruno Lopes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1647 vs 1648), separated by just 1 points.

Bruno Lopes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Magomed Tuchalov enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Bruno Lopes finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Magomed Tuchalov 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.