Combat Edge Intelligence

Bruno Santos vs Dylan Budka

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dylan Budka
us

Dylan Budka

“The Mindless Hulk”

7-5-0MiddleweightUFC

1571Solid

Tale of the tape

19-5-1Record7-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'8"Height5'11"
TBDReach75″
185 lbsWeight189 lbs
MMA MastersTeamDemolition Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bruno SantosNow 1576
If they win+16→ 1592
If they lose-16→ 1560
Dylan BudkaNow 1571
If they win+16→ 1587
If they lose-16→ 1555

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.18
Sig. strikes / min
1.07
46%
Strike accuracy
44%
2.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.69
57%
Strike defense
41%
3
Takedown avg.
2.02
38%
Takedown accuracy
38%
67%
Takedown defense
77%
0.33
Submission avg.
0.40

Trajectory

Bruno SantosDylan Budka
150015501600202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (5%)
KO/TKO
1 (14%)
1 (5%)
Submission
2 (29%)
17 (89%)
Decision
4 (57%)

Combat Edge model read

Dylan Budka56%
Bruno Santos 44%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Dylan Budka a 56% favorite over Bruno Santos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bruno Santos's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1576 vs 1571), separated by just 5 points.

Dylan Budka enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Bruno Santos finishes 11% of wins inside the distance, Dylan Budka 43%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.