Combat Edge Intelligence

Bruno Santos vs Fernando Gonzalez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-5-1Record29-20-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'8"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
MMA MastersTeamTeam Quest

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bruno SantosNow 1576
If they win+16→ 1592
If they lose-16→ 1560
Fernando GonzalezNow 1573
If they win+12→ 1585
If they lose-12→ 1561

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1558 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.18
Sig. strikes / min
1.80
46%
Strike accuracy
40%
2.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
8.06
57%
Strike defense
66%
3
Takedown avg.
0.57
38%
Takedown accuracy
20%
67%
Takedown defense
44%
0.33
Submission avg.
1.15

Trajectory

Bruno SantosFernando Gonzalez
15501600202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (5%)
KO/TKO
12 (41%)
1 (5%)
Submission
6 (21%)
17 (89%)
Decision
11 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Bruno Santos66%
Fernando Gonzalez 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Bruno Santos a 66% favorite over Fernando Gonzalez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1576 vs 1573), separated by just 3 points.

Fernando Gonzalez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Bruno Santos finishes 11% of wins inside the distance, Fernando Gonzalez 62%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.