Combat Edge Intelligence

Bruno Santos vs Keith Berish

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Keith Berish
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Keith Berish

“Sha Bang Bang”

5-1-0MiddleweightUFC

1582Solid

Tale of the tape

19-5-1Record5-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'8"Height6'0"
TBDReach73,5"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA MastersTeamBlack & Blue MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bruno SantosNow 1576
If they win+16→ 1592
If they lose-16→ 1560
Keith BerishNow 1582
If they win+24→ 1606
If they lose-24→ 1558

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.18
Sig. strikes / min
3.58
46%
Strike accuracy
36%
2.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.81
57%
Strike defense
63%
3
Takedown avg.
1.76
38%
Takedown accuracy
40%
67%
Takedown defense
0%
0.33
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Bruno SantosKeith Berish
15501600165020152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (5%)
KO/TKO
2 (40%)
1 (5%)
Submission
2 (40%)
17 (89%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Bruno Santos and Keith Berish within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1576 vs 1582), separated by just 6 points.

Keith Berish enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Bruno Santos finishes 11% of wins inside the distance, Keith Berish 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.