Bruno Souza vs Gavin Tucker
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-3-0Record13-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'7"
70"Reach66"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Machida TeamTeamTitans MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-16→ 1650
If they win+16→ 1684
If they lose-16→ 1652
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1607 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bruno SouzaGavin Tucker
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Bruno Souza56%
Gavin Tucker 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Bruno Souza a 56% favorite over Gavin Tucker in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gavin Tucker's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1666 vs 1668), separated by just 2 points.
Bruno Souza enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Gavin Tucker enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Bruno Souza finishes 25% of wins inside the distance, Gavin Tucker 77%.
Bruno Souza carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.