Combat Edge Intelligence

Bruno Souza vs Luke Sanders

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Bruno Souza
br

Bruno Souza

“The Tiger”

13-3-0FeatherweightCWFC

1666Good
Luke Sanders
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Luke Sanders

“Cool Hand”

13-5-0FeatherweightUFC

1663Good

Tale of the tape

13-3-0Record13-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'7"
70"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Machida TeamTeamNashville MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bruno SouzaNow 1666
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-16→ 1650
Luke SandersNow 1663
If they win+16→ 1679
If they lose-16→ 1647

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1641 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.73
Sig. strikes / min
6.61
40%
Strike accuracy
53%
5.30
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.37
46%
Strike defense
51%
0.50
Takedown avg.
0.71
17%
Takedown accuracy
30%
60%
Takedown defense
73%
0
Submission avg.
0.24

Trajectory

Bruno SouzaLuke Sanders
16501700201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

1 (8%)
KO/TKO
7 (54%)
2 (17%)
Submission
2 (15%)
9 (75%)
Decision
4 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Bruno Souza56%
Luke Sanders 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Bruno Souza a 56% favorite over Luke Sanders in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1666 vs 1663), separated by just 3 points.

Bruno Souza enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Luke Sanders enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Bruno Souza finishes 25% of wins inside the distance, Luke Sanders 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.