Combat Edge Intelligence

Bruno Souza vs Mike Brown

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Bruno Souza
br

Bruno Souza

“The Tiger”

13-3-0FeatherweightCWFC

1666Good

Tale of the tape

13-3-0Record26-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'6"
70"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Machida TeamTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bruno SouzaNow 1666
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-16→ 1650
Mike BrownNow 1668
If they win+16→ 1684
If they lose-16→ 1652

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1661 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.73
Sig. strikes / min
2.98
40%
Strike accuracy
45%
5.30
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.45
46%
Strike defense
61%
0.50
Takedown avg.
3.23
17%
Takedown accuracy
40%
60%
Takedown defense
67%
0
Submission avg.
0.62

Trajectory

Bruno SouzaMike Brown
1650170020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

1 (8%)
KO/TKO
5 (19%)
2 (17%)
Submission
13 (50%)
9 (75%)
Decision
8 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Bruno Souza53%
Mike Brown 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Bruno Souza a 53% favorite over Mike Brown in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mike Brown's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1666 vs 1668), separated by just 2 points.

Bruno Souza enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Bruno Souza finishes 25% of wins inside the distance, Mike Brown 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.