Combat Edge Intelligence

Bryan Battle vs Gunnar Nelson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Bryan Battle
us

Bryan Battle

“The Butcher”

12-3-0WelterweightPFL

1711Good

Tale of the tape

12-3-0Record19-6-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height5'11"
77"Reach72"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Hayastan MMA CharlotteTeamMjolnir

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bryan BattleNow 1711
If they win+16→ 1727
If they lose-16→ 1695
Gunnar NelsonNow 1709
If they win+16→ 1725
If they lose-16→ 1693

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1662 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1716 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.12
Sig. strikes / min
1.77
53%
Strike accuracy
61%
4.11
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.06
44%
Strike defense
49%
0.77
Takedown avg.
2
9%
Takedown accuracy
52%
54%
Takedown defense
68%
0.39
Submission avg.
1

Trajectory

Bryan BattleGunnar Nelson
1700202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (33%)
KO/TKO
4 (21%)
5 (42%)
Submission
13 (68%)
3 (25%)
Decision
2 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Bryan Battle71%
Gunnar Nelson 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Bryan Battle a 71% favorite over Gunnar Nelson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1711 vs 1709), separated by just 2 points.

Bryan Battle finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Gunnar Nelson 89%.

Bryan Battle and Gunnar Nelson share 1 common opponent: Takashi Sato.

Bryan Battle carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinKO · 2022
Takashi Sato
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2022