Combat Edge Intelligence

Bryan Caraway vs Kyler Phillips

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-9-0Record12-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'8"
68,0"Reach72"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamMMA Lab

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bryan CarawayNow 1683
If they win+12→ 1695
If they lose-12→ 1671
Kyler PhillipsNow 1685
If they win+16→ 1701
If they lose-16→ 1669

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1653 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1666 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.53
Sig. strikes / min
5.28
34%
Strike accuracy
44%
3.61
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.47
54%
Strike defense
61%
2.57
Takedown avg.
2.63
26%
Takedown accuracy
51%
81%
Takedown defense
76%
0.75
Submission avg.
0.42

Trajectory

Bryan CarawayKyler Phillips
1700175020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (9%)
KO/TKO
5 (42%)
16 (73%)
Submission
2 (17%)
4 (18%)
Decision
5 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Kyler Phillips70%
Bryan Caraway 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kyler Phillips a 70% favorite over Bryan Caraway in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1683 vs 1685), separated by just 2 points.

Kyler Phillips enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Bryan Caraway finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Kyler Phillips 58%.

Bryan Caraway and Kyler Phillips share 1 common opponent: Pedro Munhoz.

Kyler Phillips carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossKO/TKO · 2018
Pedro Munhoz
WinDecision - Unanimous · 2024