Combat Edge Intelligence

Bryan Caraway vs Sean Gauci

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-9-0Record11-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'5"
68,0"Reach64"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamIgnite Martial Arts Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bryan CarawayNow 1683
If they win+12→ 1695
If they lose-12→ 1671
Sean GauciNow 1685
If they win+16→ 1701
If they lose-16→ 1669

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1653 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.53
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
34%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.61
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
54%
Strike defense
TBD
2.57
Takedown avg.
TBD
26%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
81%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.75
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Bryan CarawaySean Gauci
1650170020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (9%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
16 (73%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (18%)
Decision
6 (55%)

Combat Edge model read

Sean Gauci70%
Bryan Caraway 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Sean Gauci a 70% favorite over Bryan Caraway in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1683 vs 1685), separated by just 2 points.

Sean Gauci enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Bryan Caraway finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Sean Gauci 45%.

Bryan Caraway carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.