Bryan Pardoe vs Regan Upshaw
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-16-0Record0-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
203 lbsWeight205 lbs
Team CannonTeamHavoc MMA
What's at stake
Regan Upshaw is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Bryan Pardoe carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1454
If they lose-11→ 1430
If they win+21→ 1499
If they lose-27→ 1451
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1495 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bryan PardoeRegan Upshaw
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Regan Upshaw83%
Bryan Pardoe 17%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Regan Upshaw a 83% favorite over Bryan Pardoe in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Regan Upshaw holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1478 to 1441, a 37-point edge.
Bryan Pardoe enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Bryan Pardoe finishes 85% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.