Combat Edge Intelligence

Bryce Logan vs Carlo Prater

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-10-0Record35-25-1
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'11"
70"ReachTBD
156 lbsWeight170 lbs
Power MMA TeamTeamNeo Dojo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bryce LoganNow 1540
If they win+16→ 1556
If they lose-16→ 1524
Carlo PraterNow 1530
If they win+12→ 1542
If they lose-12→ 1518

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1553 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.03
TBD
Strike accuracy
47%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.07
TBD
Strike defense
35%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.43
TBD
Takedown accuracy
9%
TBD
Takedown defense
57%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.72

Trajectory

Bryce LoganCarlo Prater
1550160020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (31%)
KO/TKO
2 (6%)
1 (8%)
Submission
19 (58%)
8 (62%)
Decision
12 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Bryce Logan66%
Carlo Prater 34%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Bryce Logan a 66% favorite over Carlo Prater in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1540 vs 1530), separated by just 10 points.

Bryce Logan enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Carlo Prater enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Bryce Logan finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Carlo Prater 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.