Combat Edge Intelligence

Bryce Logan vs Colin Fletcher

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

13-10-0Record16-10-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'2"
70"ReachTBD
156 lbsWeight170 lbs
Power MMA TeamTeamUnity Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bryce LoganNow 1540
If they win+16→ 1556
If they lose-16→ 1524
Colin FletcherNow 1542
If they win+12→ 1554
If they lose-12→ 1530

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1553 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1503 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.10
TBD
Strike accuracy
35%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.97
TBD
Strike defense
62%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
27%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Bryce LoganColin Fletcher
1550160020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (31%)
KO/TKO
1 (6%)
1 (8%)
Submission
11 (69%)
8 (62%)
Decision
4 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Bryce Logan52%
Colin Fletcher 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Bryce Logan a 52% favorite over Colin Fletcher in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Colin Fletcher's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1540 vs 1542), separated by just 2 points.

Bryce Logan enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Bryce Logan finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Colin Fletcher 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.