Bryce Logan vs Paul Kelly
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-10-0Record15-5-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'9"
70"ReachTBD
156 lbsWeight169 lbs
Power MMA TeamTeamTeam Kaobon
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1556
If they lose-16→ 1524
If they win+16→ 1550
If they lose-16→ 1518
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1553 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1594 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bryce LoganPaul Kelly
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Bryce Logan57%
Paul Kelly 43%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Bryce Logan a 57% favorite over Paul Kelly in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1540 vs 1534), separated by just 6 points.
Bryce Logan enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Paul Kelly enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Bryce Logan finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Paul Kelly 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.