Combat Edge Intelligence

Bryce Logan vs Tristan Arenal

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

13-10-0Record7-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
70"ReachTBD
156 lbsWeight156 lbs
Power MMA TeamTeamUnlimited MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bryce LoganNow 1540
If they win+16→ 1556
If they lose-16→ 1524
Tristan ArenalNow 1540
If they win+16→ 1556
If they lose-16→ 1524

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1553 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Bryce LoganTristan Arenal
1500155020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (31%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
1 (8%)
Submission
3 (43%)
8 (62%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Tristan Arenal51%
Bryce Logan 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tristan Arenal a 51% favorite over Bryce Logan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bryce Logan's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1540 vs 1540), separated by just 0 points.

Bryce Logan enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Bryce Logan finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Tristan Arenal 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.