Combat Edge Intelligence

Bryce Logan vs Zach Underwood

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-10-0Record13-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
70"ReachTBD
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Power MMA TeamTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bryce LoganNow 1540
If they win+16→ 1556
If they lose-16→ 1524
Zach UnderwoodNow 1534
If they win+16→ 1550
If they lose-16→ 1518

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1553 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Bryce LoganZach Underwood
15502014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (31%)
KO/TKO
3 (23%)
1 (8%)
Submission
0 (0%)
8 (62%)
Decision
10 (77%)

Combat Edge model read

Bryce Logan56%
Zach Underwood 44%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Bryce Logan a 56% favorite over Zach Underwood in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1540 vs 1534), separated by just 6 points.

Bryce Logan enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Bryce Logan finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Zach Underwood 23%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.