Bryce Shepard-Mejia vs Josh Quinlan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-1-0Record6-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
TBDReach72"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
International Self DefenseTeamAbe Brothers Jiu-Jitsu Las Vegas
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1571
If they lose-24→ 1523
If they win+16→ 1562
If they lose-16→ 1530
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1506 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bryce Shepard-MejiaJosh Quinlan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Bryce Shepard-Mejia60%
Josh Quinlan 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Bryce Shepard-Mejia a 60% favorite over Josh Quinlan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1547 vs 1546), separated by just 1 points.
Josh Quinlan enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Bryce Shepard-Mejia finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Josh Quinlan 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.