Bryce Shepard-Mejia vs Tyler Hill
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-1-0Record13-10-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'4"
TBDReach79"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
International Self DefenseTeamMemphis Judo and Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1571
If they lose-24→ 1523
If they win+16→ 1568
If they lose-16→ 1536
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1506 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bryce Shepard-MejiaTyler Hill
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Bryce Shepard-Mejia60%
Tyler Hill 40%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Bryce Shepard-Mejia a 60% favorite over Tyler Hill in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tyler Hill's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1547 vs 1552), separated by just 5 points.
Bryce Shepard-Mejia finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Tyler Hill 92%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.