Buck Meredith vs Damian Janikowski
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-3-0Record11-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height5'11"
TBDReach70"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team QuestTeamNemesis
What's at stake
Damian Janikowski is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Buck Meredith carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+25→ 1529
If they lose-23→ 1481
If they win+15→ 1536
If they lose-17→ 1504
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1519 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Buck MeredithDamian Janikowski
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Damian Janikowski66%
Buck Meredith 34%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Damian Janikowski a 66% favorite over Buck Meredith in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Damian Janikowski holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1521 to 1504, a 17-point edge.
Buck Meredith enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Buck Meredith finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Damian Janikowski 64%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.