César Almeida vs Jared Gooden
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-3-0Record23-12-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'4"
74"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight171 lbs
Lotus MMATeamX3 Sports
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1644
If they lose-16→ 1612
If they win+12→ 1640
If they lose-12→ 1616
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1614 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1595 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
César AlmeidaJared Gooden
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
César Almeida73%
Jared Gooden 27%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes César Almeida a 73% favorite over Jared Gooden in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1628 vs 1628), separated by just 0 points.
César Almeida enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jared Gooden enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
César Almeida finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Jared Gooden 78%.
Jared Gooden carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.