Cain Velasquez vs Tyrell Fortune
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-3-0Record18-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'2"
77"Reach77"
241 lbsWeight256 lbs
American Kickboxing AcademyTeamArizona Combat Sports
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1753
If they lose-16→ 1721
If they win+16→ 1745
If they lose-16→ 1713
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1741 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cain VelasquezTyrell Fortune
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tyrell Fortune70%
Cain Velasquez 30%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Tyrell Fortune a 70% favorite over Cain Velasquez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Cain Velasquez's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1737 vs 1729), separated by just 8 points.
Tyrell Fortune enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Cain Velasquez finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Tyrell Fortune 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.