Combat Edge Intelligence

Caio Magalhaes vs Nikola Dipchikov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-7-0Record24-13-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
73.00Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Teixeira MMA & FitnessTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Caio MagalhaesNow 1545
If they win+24→ 1569
If they lose-24→ 1521
Nikola DipchikovNow 1548
If they win+16→ 1564
If they lose-16→ 1532

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1649 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.27
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
40%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.78
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
56%
Strike defense
TBD
1.05
Takedown avg.
TBD
15%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
58%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.58
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Caio MagalhaesNikola Dipchikov
155016002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
20 (83%)
4 (40%)
Submission
1 (4%)
3 (30%)
Decision
3 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Nikola Dipchikov63%
Caio Magalhaes 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nikola Dipchikov a 63% favorite over Caio Magalhaes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1545 vs 1548), separated by just 3 points.

Caio Magalhaes enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Nikola Dipchikov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Caio Magalhaes finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Nikola Dipchikov 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.