Caio Magalhaes vs Steven Hill
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-7-0Record7-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
73.00Reach73"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Teixeira MMA & FitnessTeamNovo BJJ
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1569
If they lose-24→ 1521
If they win+16→ 1556
If they lose-16→ 1524
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1649 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Caio MagalhaesSteven Hill
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Steven Hill60%
Caio Magalhaes 40%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Steven Hill a 60% favorite over Caio Magalhaes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Caio Magalhaes's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1545 vs 1540), separated by just 5 points.
Caio Magalhaes enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Steven Hill enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Caio Magalhaes finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Steven Hill 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.