Callum Haughian vs Chris Culley
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-1-0Record20-16-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
-ReachTBD
149 lbsWeight155 lbs
Great Britain Top TeamTeamMillennia MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+25→ 1544
If they lose-23→ 1496
If they win+12→ 1541
If they lose-12→ 1517
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1487 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Callum HaughianChris Culley
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Callum Haughian79%
Chris Culley 21%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Callum Haughian a 79% favorite over Chris Culley in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chris Culley's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1519 vs 1529), separated by just 10 points.
Chris Culley enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Chris Culley 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.