Combat Edge Intelligence

Callum Haughian vs Dedrek Sanders

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-1-0Record9-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'7"
-Reach70"
149 lbsWeight155 lbs
Great Britain Top TeamTeamAnchorage Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

Callum Haughian is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Dedrek Sanders carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Callum HaughianNow 1519
If they win+23→ 1542
If they lose-25→ 1494
Dedrek SandersNow 1499
If they win+25→ 1524
If they lose-23→ 1476

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1487 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Callum HaughianDedrek Sanders
14501500202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
4 (44%)
1 (50%)
Submission
2 (22%)
1 (50%)
Decision
3 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Callum Haughian63%
Dedrek Sanders 37%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Callum Haughian a 63% favorite over Dedrek Sanders in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Callum Haughian holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1519 to 1499, a 20-point edge.

Dedrek Sanders 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.