Callum Haughian vs Eric Castile
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-1-0Record3-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
149 lbsWeight155 lbs
Great Britain Top TeamTeamUndisputed Boxing
What's at stake
Callum Haughian is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Eric Castile carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1541
If they lose-26→ 1493
If they win+26→ 1519
If they lose-22→ 1471
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1487 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1462 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Callum HaughianEric Castile
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Callum Haughian60%
Eric Castile 40%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Callum Haughian a 60% favorite over Eric Castile in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Callum Haughian holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1519 to 1493, a 26-point edge.
Eric Castile enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Eric Castile 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.