Callum Haughian vs Jonny Carson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
2-1-0Record11-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
-ReachTBD
149 lbsWeight155 lbs
Great Britain Top TeamTeamSkrap Pack
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1543
If they lose-24→ 1495
If they win+16→ 1533
If they lose-16→ 1501
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1487 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Callum HaughianJonny Carson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Callum Haughian61%
Jonny Carson 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Callum Haughian a 61% favorite over Jonny Carson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1519 vs 1517), separated by just 2 points.
Jonny Carson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jonny Carson 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.