Combat Edge Intelligence

Callum Haughian vs Kenneth Alexander

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-1-0Record7-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
149 lbsWeight154 lbs
Great Britain Top TeamTeamBad Boy USA

What's at stake

Callum Haughian is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Kenneth Alexander carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Callum HaughianNow 1519
If they win+22→ 1541
If they lose-26→ 1493
Kenneth AlexanderNow 1494
If they win+17→ 1511
If they lose-15→ 1479

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1487 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.88
TBD
Strike accuracy
19%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.20
TBD
Strike defense
67%
TBD
Takedown avg.
4.71
TBD
Takedown accuracy
26%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Callum HaughianKenneth Alexander
1500201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
1 (50%)
Submission
2 (29%)
1 (50%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Callum Haughian71%
Kenneth Alexander 29%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Callum Haughian a 71% favorite over Kenneth Alexander in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Callum Haughian holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1519 to 1494, a 25-point edge.

Kenneth Alexander 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.