Callum Haughian vs Niklas Stolze
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-1-0Record14-10-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
-Reach74"
149 lbsWeight171 lbs
Great Britain Top TeamTeamSBG Ireland
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1543
If they lose-24→ 1495
If they win+16→ 1542
If they lose-16→ 1510
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1487 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Callum HaughianNiklas Stolze
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Callum Haughian71%
Niklas Stolze 29%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Callum Haughian a 71% favorite over Niklas Stolze in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Niklas Stolze's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1519 vs 1526), separated by just 7 points.
Niklas Stolze enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Niklas Stolze 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.