Combat Edge Intelligence

Callum Haughian vs Patrick Murphy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-1-0Record0-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"HeightTBD
-ReachTBD
149 lbsWeight151 lbs
Great Britain Top TeamTeamTBD

What's at stake

Callum Haughian is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Patrick Murphy carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Callum HaughianNow 1519
If they win+22→ 1541
If they lose-26→ 1493
Patrick MurphyNow 1492
If they win+26→ 1518
If they lose-22→ 1470

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1487 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
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Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Callum HaughianPatrick Murphy
150020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
1 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (50%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Callum Haughian67%
Patrick Murphy 33%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Callum Haughian a 67% favorite over Patrick Murphy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Callum Haughian holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1519 to 1492, a 27-point edge.

Patrick Murphy enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.