Combat Edge Intelligence

Calvin Kattar vs Darren Elkins

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Calvin Kattar
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Calvin Kattar

“The Boston Finisher”

23-10-0FeatherweightUFC

1697Good

Tale of the tape

23-10-0Record29-12-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'10"
72"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Carlos Neto BJJTeamDuneland Vale Tudo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Calvin KattarNow 1697
If they win+12→ 1709
If they lose-12→ 1685
Darren ElkinsNow 1699
If they win+12→ 1711
If they lose-12→ 1687

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1743 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1652 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.60
Sig. strikes / min
3.40
39%
Strike accuracy
38%
6.62
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.22
54%
Strike defense
52%
0.36
Takedown avg.
2.86
29%
Takedown accuracy
35%
77%
Takedown defense
56%
0.07
Submission avg.
1.08

Trajectory

Calvin KattarDarren Elkins
17001750202320242025

Win method breakdown

11 (48%)
KO/TKO
9 (31%)
2 (9%)
Submission
6 (21%)
10 (43%)
Decision
14 (48%)

Combat Edge model read

Calvin Kattar56%
Darren Elkins 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Calvin Kattar a 56% favorite over Darren Elkins in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Darren Elkins's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1697 vs 1699), separated by just 2 points.

Calvin Kattar enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Calvin Kattar finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Darren Elkins 52%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.