Combat Edge Intelligence

Cameron Church vs Kaiwen Li

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Kaiwen Li
cn

Kaiwen Li

“The Underdog”

12-6-0LightweightRUFC

1564Solid

Tale of the tape

4-1-0Record12-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight150 lbs
Escobar Training GroundsTeamK-1 Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cameron ChurchNow 1566
If they win+24→ 1590
If they lose-24→ 1542
Kaiwen LiNow 1564
If they win+16→ 1580
If they lose-16→ 1548

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1483 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4
Sig. strikes / min
4.32
40%
Strike accuracy
50%
4.93
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.74
50%
Strike defense
54%
0
Takedown avg.
0.78
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
60%
Takedown defense
92%
1
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Cameron ChurchKaiwen Li
15501600202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (75%)
KO/TKO
7 (58%)
1 (25%)
Submission
1 (8%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Cameron Church62%
Kaiwen Li 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Cameron Church a 62% favorite over Kaiwen Li in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1566 vs 1564), separated by just 2 points.

Kaiwen Li enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Cameron Church finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Kaiwen Li 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.