Combat Edge Intelligence

Cameron Dollar vs Carl Jones

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Carl Jones

Carl Jones

“The Chief”

6-1-0LightweightCWFC

1604Solid

Tale of the tape

11-5-0Record6-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"HeightTBD
TBDReach-
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Colorado Fight FactoryTeamManchester Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cameron DollarNow 1602
If they win+16→ 1618
If they lose-16→ 1586
Carl JonesNow 1604
If they win+24→ 1628
If they lose-24→ 1580

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.04
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
38%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.94
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
61%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Cameron DollarCarl Jones
160016502011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
5 (83%)
6 (55%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (9%)
Decision
1 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Carl Jones60%
Cameron Dollar 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Carl Jones a 60% favorite over Cameron Dollar in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1602 vs 1604), separated by just 2 points.

Cameron Dollar finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Carl Jones 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.