Cameron Smotherman vs John Garza
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-7-0Record6-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'8"
69"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
Metro Fight ClubTeamAzTex MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581
If they win+24→ 1623
If they lose-24→ 1575
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1590 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cameron SmothermanJohn Garza
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
John Garza73%
Cameron Smotherman 27%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes John Garza a 73% favorite over Cameron Smotherman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1597 vs 1599), separated by just 2 points.
Cameron Smotherman enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Cameron Smotherman finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, John Garza 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.