Combat Edge Intelligence

Cameron Smotherman vs Kenji Osawa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record20-11-2
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'6"
69"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight134 lbs
Metro Fight ClubTeamWajutsu Keishukai Hearts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cameron SmothermanNow 1597
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581
Kenji OsawaNow 1597
If they win+12→ 1609
If they lose-12→ 1585

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1590 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.07
Sig. strikes / min
2.93
37%
Strike accuracy
39%
3.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.13
59%
Strike defense
63%
0
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
63%
Takedown defense
68%
0
Submission avg.
0.75

Trajectory

Cameron SmothermanKenji Osawa
16001650201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (50%)
KO/TKO
4 (20%)
1 (8%)
Submission
2 (10%)
5 (42%)
Decision
14 (70%)

Combat Edge model read

Cameron Smotherman60%
Kenji Osawa 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Cameron Smotherman a 60% favorite over Kenji Osawa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1597 vs 1597), separated by just 0 points.

Cameron Smotherman enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Cameron Smotherman finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Kenji Osawa 30%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.