Combat Edge Intelligence

Cameron Smotherman vs Saimon Oliveira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record18-7-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'8"
69"Reach72"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Metro Fight ClubTeamAstra Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cameron SmothermanNow 1597
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581
Saimon OliveiraNow 1595
If they win+16→ 1611
If they lose-16→ 1579

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1590 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1589 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.07
Sig. strikes / min
2.67
37%
Strike accuracy
40%
3.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.13
59%
Strike defense
47%
0
Takedown avg.
1.07
TBD
Takedown accuracy
25%
63%
Takedown defense
39%
0
Submission avg.
1.43

Trajectory

Cameron SmothermanSaimon Oliveira
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (50%)
KO/TKO
5 (28%)
1 (8%)
Submission
11 (61%)
5 (42%)
Decision
2 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Cameron Smotherman63%
Saimon Oliveira 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Cameron Smotherman a 63% favorite over Saimon Oliveira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1597 vs 1595), separated by just 2 points.

Cameron Smotherman enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Saimon Oliveira enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Cameron Smotherman finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Saimon Oliveira 89%.

Saimon Oliveira carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.