Combat Edge Intelligence

Cameron Stewart vs J.C. Cottrell

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

1-3-0Record17-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
-Reach40.00
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team Sure GripTeamAcademy of Martial Arts

What's at stake

J.C. Cottrell is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Cameron Stewart carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Cameron StewartNow 1461
If they win+25→ 1486
If they lose-23→ 1438
J.C. CottrellNow 1478
If they win+23→ 1501
If they lose-25→ 1453

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1493 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1706 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.79
TBD
Strike accuracy
25%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.75
TBD
Strike defense
45%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.79
TBD
Takedown accuracy
100%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Cameron StewartJ.C. Cottrell
145015002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
2 (12%)
1 (100%)
Submission
11 (65%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Cameron Stewart66%
J.C. Cottrell 34%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Cameron Stewart a 66% favorite over J.C. Cottrell in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans J.C. Cottrell's way (48%).

J.C. Cottrell holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1478 to 1461, a 17-point edge.

J.C. Cottrell enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

J.C. Cottrell 76%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.