Combat Edge Intelligence

Caolán Loughran vs Ricky Palacios

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-3-0Record11-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
68"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team KaobonTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Caolán LoughranNow 1660
If they win+16→ 1676
If they lose-16→ 1644
Ricky PalaciosNow 1657
If they win+16→ 1673
If they lose-16→ 1641

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1578 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.87
Sig. strikes / min
7.73
45%
Strike accuracy
54%
5.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.27
55%
Strike defense
60%
5
Takedown avg.
0
42%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Caolán LoughranRicky Palacios
16501700201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (45%)
KO/TKO
6 (55%)
3 (27%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (27%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Caolán Loughran70%
Ricky Palacios 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Caolán Loughran a 70% favorite over Ricky Palacios in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1660 vs 1657), separated by just 3 points.

Caolán Loughran finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Ricky Palacios 55%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.