Combat Edge Intelligence

Caolán Loughran vs Cody Gibson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Cody Gibson
us

Cody Gibson

“The Renegade”

21-12-0BantamweightUFC

1662Good

Tale of the tape

11-3-0Record21-12-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'10"
68"Reach71"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team KaobonTeamElite Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Caolán LoughranNow 1660
If they win+16→ 1676
If they lose-16→ 1644
Cody GibsonNow 1662
If they win+12→ 1674
If they lose-12→ 1650

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1578 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1657 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.87
Sig. strikes / min
3.61
45%
Strike accuracy
46%
5.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.18
55%
Strike defense
58%
5
Takedown avg.
2.13
42%
Takedown accuracy
38%
0%
Takedown defense
70%
0
Submission avg.
0.61

Trajectory

Caolán LoughranCody Gibson
165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (45%)
KO/TKO
7 (33%)
3 (27%)
Submission
5 (24%)
3 (27%)
Decision
9 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Caolán Loughran70%
Cody Gibson 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Caolán Loughran a 70% favorite over Cody Gibson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Cody Gibson's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1660 vs 1662), separated by just 2 points.

Cody Gibson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Caolán Loughran finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Cody Gibson 57%.

Cody Gibson carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.