Combat Edge Intelligence

Caolán Loughran vs Santiago Luna

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-3-0Record8-1-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'8"
68"Reach74"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team KaobonTeamEntram Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Caolán LoughranNow 1660
If they win+16→ 1676
If they lose-16→ 1644
Santiago LunaNow 1662
If they win+24→ 1686
If they lose-24→ 1638

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1578 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.87
Sig. strikes / min
8.20
45%
Strike accuracy
55%
5.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.82
55%
Strike defense
72%
5
Takedown avg.
4.21
42%
Takedown accuracy
83%
0%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
0.84

Trajectory

Caolán LoughranSantiago Luna
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (45%)
KO/TKO
3 (38%)
3 (27%)
Submission
4 (50%)
3 (27%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Santiago Luna53%
Caolán Loughran 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Santiago Luna a 53% favorite over Caolán Loughran in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1660 vs 1662), separated by just 2 points.

Caolán Loughran finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Santiago Luna 88%.

Caolán Loughran and Santiago Luna share 1 common opponent: Angel Pacheco.

Santiago Luna carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision - Unanimous · 2024
Angel Pacheco
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2026