Combat Edge Intelligence

Carl Jones vs Efrain Escudero

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Carl Jones

Carl Jones

“The Chief”

6-1-0LightweightCWFC

1604Solid

Tale of the tape

6-1-0Record32-17-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
TBDHeight5'9"
-Reach70,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Manchester Top TeamTeamMMA Lab

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carl JonesNow 1604
If they win+24→ 1628
If they lose-24→ 1580
Efrain EscuderoNow 1604
If they win+12→ 1616
If they lose-12→ 1592

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1508 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.92
TBD
Strike accuracy
45%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.30
TBD
Strike defense
63%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.31
TBD
Takedown accuracy
41%
TBD
Takedown defense
67%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.81

Trajectory

Carl JonesEfrain Escudero
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (83%)
KO/TKO
2 (6%)
0 (0%)
Submission
16 (50%)
1 (17%)
Decision
14 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Carl Jones60%
Efrain Escudero 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Carl Jones a 60% favorite over Efrain Escudero in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1604 vs 1604), separated by just 0 points.

Carl Jones finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Efrain Escudero 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.