Combat Edge Intelligence

Carl Seumanutafa vs Gvido Šusts

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-16-0Record2-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"HeightTBD
TBDReach-
261 lbsWeight265 lbs
Skrap PackTeamTBD

What's at stake

Gvido Šusts is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Carl Seumanutafa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Carl SeumanutafaNow 1482
If they win+14→ 1496
If they lose-10→ 1472
Gvido ŠustsNow 1531
If they win+21→ 1552
If they lose-27→ 1504

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1537 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Carl SeumanutafaGvido Šusts
1500155020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (79%)
KO/TKO
2 (100%)
1 (7%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (14%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Gvido Šusts71%
Carl Seumanutafa 29%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Gvido Šusts a 71% favorite over Carl Seumanutafa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Gvido Šusts holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1531 to 1482, a 49-point edge.

Carl Seumanutafa finishes 86% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.