Carli Judice vs Sarah Frota
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-2-0Record11-4-0
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'7"Height5'6"
68"Reach38,0"
125 lbsWeight115 lbs
Headkicks MMATeamAstra Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1647
If they lose-24→ 1599
If they win+16→ 1638
If they lose-16→ 1606
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1545 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Carli JudiceSarah Frota
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Carli Judice70%
Sarah Frota 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Carli Judice a 70% favorite over Sarah Frota in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1623 vs 1622), separated by just 1 points.
Carli Judice enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Sarah Frota enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Carli Judice finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Sarah Frota 82%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.